Reform UK on track to win in two mayoral contests – UK politics reside | Politics

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Reform UK on track for clear wins in Better Lincolnshire and Hull/East Yorkshire mayoral contests, ballot suggests

There are six mayoral elections subsequent week. Two of them are for single-authority mayors (Doncaster and North Tyneside), however the others are for combined-authority mayors (or regional mayors – like metro mayors, however not simply masking metropolis areas). As we speak YouGov has launched polling masking all 4 of those contests and it suggests Reform UK is on track to win two of them simply. And the Inexperienced get together is narrowly forward in a 3rd, the ballot suggests.

Listed below are the polling figures.

Better Lincolnshire – Reform UK forward by 15 factors

Polling for Better Lincolnshire mayoral contest {Photograph}: YouGov

Andrea Jenkyns, the previous Tory MP, is the Reform UK candidate right here, and that is the place Nigel Farage’s get together was thought to have its finest likelihood of a mayoral win. Sam Freedman has a great abstract of the competition in his invaluable native elections preview on his Substack weblog.

In principle the Tories must be successful in Lincolnshire as they maintain a lot of the parliamentary seats within the space and have dominated native politics endlessly. However it’s additionally probably the most Reform-friendly a part of the nation. It accommodates Richard Tice’s constituency and quite a few seats during which they got here second. Plus their candidate is a former Tory MP – Andrea Jenkyns, well-known for her Boris Johnson obsession and making a center finger gesture at a crowd outdoors Downing Avenue. She is, by all accounts, fairly a number of sandwiches in need of a picnic however, nonetheless, is powerful favorite to win. Massive chunks of native Conservative events, together with a number of councillors, have already defected.

Hull and East Yorkshire – Reform UK forward by 14 factors

Polling for Hull and East Yorkshire mayoral contest.
Polling for Hull and East Yorkshire mayoral contest. {Photograph}: YouGov

Like Better Lincolnshire, it is a new mixed authority, which means there haven’t been elections for this mayoral submit up to now. Once more it was seen as a Reform UK goal, however the polling suggests Luke Campbell, a former Olympic boxer, is on track to win simply.

West of England – Inexperienced get together forward by 4 factors

Polling for West of England mayoral contest
Polling for West of England mayoral contest {Photograph}: YouGov

It appears the West of England mayor must be answerable for 1 / 4 of the nation, however in reality this mayoralty simply covers authorities in Bristol, South Gloucestershire and North East Somerset. Labour received it final time, however the outgoing mayor has been arrested over rape and little one abuse allegations. The Greens are robust in Bristol, the place Carla Denyer, the co-leader, is an MP, and a victory within the mayoral contest can be a signficant breakthrough for the get together.

Cambridgeshire and Peterborough – Conservatives forward by 12 factors

Polling for Cambridgeshire and Peterborough mayoral contest
Polling for Cambridgeshire and Peterborough mayoral contest {Photograph}: YouGov

When this submit was final contested, the Conservative candidate was forward after the primary poll however the Labour candidate was elected as a result of the opposite voters have been redistributed and the Lib Dem votes carried him over the road within the second spherical. The Conservatives then scrapped this voting system (the supplementary vote) for mayoral elections and changed it with first-past-the-post. There are some Labour MPs who would would love the federal government to revert to the supplementary vote. However, if these YouGov figures are proper, even the supplementary vote wouldn’t essentially safe Labour victory right here, as a result of the mixed Tory/Reform UK vote is bigger than the mixed Labour/Lib Dem/Inexperienced vote.

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Key occasions

Carla Denyer, the Inexperienced get together’s co-leader, has backed NHS guidelines to be modified to make it simpler for homeless individuals to get fundamental eye care. Because the Large Problem stories, talking at an occasion hosted by the charity Imaginative and prescient Take care of Homeless Individuals, she mentioned:

Persons are being denied one thing as fundamental as a pair of glasses. It’s absurd – and utterly fixable …

If somebody is lastly capable of converse to a GP, get a watch check, or ask for glasses, they shouldn’t be turned away. These are modest asks. We all know methods to repair it. We simply want the political will.

The charity is asking for homeless individuals to be eligible totally free eye assessments and glasses.

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