Starmer urged to introduce wealth tax as an alternative of slicing incapacity advantages – UK politics stay | Politics

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Starmer urged to introduce wealth tax as an alternative of slicing incapacity advantages

Good morning. “You need me to chop £1bn. Shall I take £100 every off 10 million folks, or £1,000 every off 1 million folks?” The previous Tory chancellor Ken Clarke is credited with developing with this clarification of what massive quantity spending cuts truly imply, however each chancellor has in all probability thought the identical.

Tomorrow the federal government is anticipated to introduced incapacity cuts mentioned to be price at the least £5bn. You’ll be able to work out the maths. That’s greater than thrice as a lot because the £1.5bn saved by slicing the winter gas fee, the only coverage choice that as carried out greater than the rest to make the federal government unpopular. So it isn’t arduous to work out why Keir Starmer is dealing with Labour turmoil over this choice.

(To be truthful, the winter gas fee was a direct reduce. The figures briefed about how a lot cash the federal government desires to avoid wasting by slicing incapacity advantages appear to check with financial savings by the top of the last decade. However we don’t know the small print at this level. Final week the New Economics Basis, a leftwing thinktank, claimed that cuts might be price as a lot as £9bn by 2029-30.)

Onerous info could be briefly provide this morning, however remark isn’t. With 24 hours to go earlier than one of many largest bulletins of the Keir Starmer premiership, a lot of individuals are staking out positions. Listed here are a few of the key developments.

  • Diane Abbott, the Labour leftwinger and mom of the Commons, has mentioned urged the federal government to impose a wealth tax as an alternative choice to slicing disabilty advantages. In an interview on the At this time programme, requested what she would do as an alternative, Abbott replied:

I might introduce the wealth tax. For those who introduced in a wealth tax of simply 2% on folks with belongings over £10m, that might elevate £24bn a 12 months. That’s what I might do.

That is broadly much like what the Inexperienced celebration was proposing on the final election.

  • Andy Burnham, the Labour mayor of Larger Manchester, has joined these expressing issues concerning the plans. In an article for the Occasions, he says:

I might share issues about altering help and eligibility to advantages whereas leaving the present top-down system broadly in place. It might entice too many individuals in poverty. And to be clear: there isn’t a case in any state of affairs for slicing the help obtainable to disabled people who find themselves unable to work.

He says Larger Manchester’s Reside Effectively initiative is a mannequin for the way people who find themselves sick could be supported again into work.

  • Abbott has mentioned that opposition to the federal government’s plans for incapacity profit cuts is not only coming from the left. In her interview on the At this time programme, she mentioned she agreed with what Burnham is saying, and she or he mentioned she additionally agreed with Ed Balls, who mentioned final week that slicing advantages for these most in want was not one thing Labour needs to be doing. Abbott, Burnham and Balls have been three of the candidates within the 2010 Labour management contest. A fourth, Ed Miliband, can be reported sad concerning the cuts, though as a cupboard minister he has not spoken out publicly.

  • Emma Reynolds, a Treasury minister, has mentioned the federal government is “in the intervening time not going to return ahead with a wealth tax”. She mentioned this in an interview on the At this time programme, when requested if the federal government could be following Abbott’s recommendation. Reynolds mentioned the federal government had already raised taxes affecting rich folks.

  • Reynolds urged Labour MPs and others to attend for the small print of the plans earlier than coming to a verdict on them. In feedback implying the ultimate proposals may not be as draconian as a few of the pre-briefing has implied, she mentioned:

Some colleagues are leaping to conclusions about our plans earlier than they’ve heard them. So I simply urge them to be affected person.

When it was put to right here that she was saying a few of their issues could be addressed once they learn the precise proposals, Reynolds mentioned there had been “a whole lot of hypothesis about what we would or may not do”.

We’ll set out additional particulars, however the severely disabled and probably the most weak will all the time get help, and there’ll all the time be a security internet.

The federal government is reportedly specializing in slicing incapacity and incapacity advantages to stem rising spending and help extra folks into work. However whereas the system wants reform, Ministers seem like targeted on slicing private independence funds (Pip) – a profit that isn’t associated to work.

The inspiration warns that slicing Pip by £5bn in 2029-30, for instance by elevating the edge to qualify for help, may see round 620,000 folks shedding £675 per thirty days, on common. The Basis provides that 70 per cent of those cuts could be focused on households within the poorest half of the earnings distribution.

Right here is the agenda for the day.

9.30am: Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, is assembly the heads of regulatory companies in Downing Road to debate their plans to spice up progress. Later Reeves is recording broadcast interviews.

11.30am: Downing Road holds a foyer briefing.

Midday: Nigel Farage and different Reform UK MPs maintain a press convention to make what they name “a particular announcement”.

2.30pm: Liz Kendall, the work and pensions secretary, takes questions within the Commons.

After 3.30pm: David Lammy, the overseas secretary, is anticipated to make a Commons assertion about Ukraine.

After 4.30pm: MPs begin debating the remaining phases of the kids’s wellbeing and faculties invoice.

5.35pm: Kemi Badenoch provides a speech on the CPS’s Margaret Thatcher Convention on Remaking Conservatism. Different audio system earlier within the day embody George Osborne, the previous chancellor, who’s doing a Q&A at 3.35pm.

Early night: Keir Starmer meets Mark Carney, the brand new Canadian PM, in Downing Road.

If you wish to contact me, please put up a message under the road or message me on social media. I can’t learn all of the messages BTL, however should you put “Andrew” in a message aimed toward me, I’m extra prone to see it as a result of I seek for posts containing that phrase.

If you wish to flag one thing up urgently, it’s best to make use of social media. You’ll be able to attain me on Bluesky at @andrewsparrowgdn. The Guardian has given up posting from its official accounts on X however particular person Guardian journalists are there, I nonetheless have my account, and should you message me there at @AndrewSparrow, I’ll see it and reply if essential.

I discover it very useful when readers level out errors, even minor typos. No error is simply too small to appropriate. And I discover your questions very attention-grabbing too. I can’t promise to answer to all of them, however I’ll attempt to reply to as many as I can, both BTL or generally within the weblog.

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OECD cuts progress forecast for UK in 2025 by 0.3% to 1.4%

The Organisation for Financial Co-operation and Improvement (OECD) has reduce its forecast for UK progress by 0.3 share factors this 12 months to 1.4%, and by 0.1 share factors for 2026 to 1.2%, Richard Partington reviews. The reducations are from the forecast revealed in December.

Right here is an extract from the OECD’s newest financial outlook report.

European economies will expertise fewer direct financial results from the tariff measures integrated within the baseline projections, however heightened geopolitical and coverage uncertainty remains to be prone to restrain progress. Euro space progress is projected to edge up from 0.7% in 2024 to 1.0% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026, with progress in the UK projected to be 1.4% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026.

And right here is Richard’s story.

Commenting on the report, Rachel Reeeves, the chancellor, mentioned:

This report reveals the world is altering, and elevated international headwinds akin to commerce uncertainty are being felt throughout the board.

A altering world means Britain should change too, and we’re delivering a brand new period of stability, safety and renewal, to guard working folks and hold our nation protected.

This implies we are able to higher reply to international uncertainty, with the UK forecast to be Europe’s quickest rising G7 financial system over the approaching years – second solely to the US.

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